Jonathan Cartu News: N.J. weather: Another winter storm with snow is possible

NJ weather - another possible winter storm

Say it ain’t snow!

Just when many forecasters were brushing off the idea that another coastal storm would form this weekend and bring another batch of accumulating snow to New Jersey and other eastern states on Super Bowl Sunday, some are changing their tune and saying the storm could be back in play.

AccuWeather forecaster Bernie Rayno says there’s a 50-50 chance that a low pressure system off the Carolina coast could move far out to sea and not impact our region — or the system could move up along the Atlantic coast and bring accumulating snow to New Jersey and other parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast region.

Although there’s still a long way to go before forecasters can get a good handle on the track of this storm, and its intensity, Rayno says it has a slight chance of becoming a “big snowstorm.” In order for that to happen, however, he says this storm — expected to move across the southern U.S. on Saturday and off the Carolina coast on Sunday — would have to merge with a clipper system that will be pushing its way across the Midwest.

If those two storms merge, he said, a bigger one would form.

Rayno says that’s an unlikely scenario at this time. More likely, he believes the southern storm will remain separate from the northern storm.

NJ weather - another possible winter storm

Under this scenario, a low pressure system in the southern United States would stay too far south to bring accumulating snow to New Jersey on Super Bowl Sunday.AccuWeather

But how it impacts the New Jersey region is highly dependent on whether the southern system moves out to sea, up along the Atlantic coast, or somewhere in between, Rayno said in a forecast video Thursday afternoon.

“We are not at the point where the big snowstorm should be totally called off, as there is still room for the pattern to come together,” Rayno said. “The chance of a big northeastern U.S. snowstorm on Sunday is not zero percent.”

The National Weather Service’s Mount Holly office, which handles forecasts for most of New Jersey, eastern Pennsylvania, all of Delaware and parts of Maryland, says it is closely monitoring the latest guidance models.

“Today the trends are a little more favorable (for some snow), with the low moving farther north than earlier trends,” said Trent Davis, a meteorologist at the weather service office. “It’s definitely something to keep watching here.”

As of now, if the trend continues with the storm track moving farther north instead of staying south and away from New Jersey, the weather service says 1 to 3 inches of snow is possible by Sunday night. Davis said the forecast will come into better focus during the next day or two.

The Weather Channel says some guidance models are hinting at 1 to 3 inches of snow for the New Jersey region late Sunday into early Monday, and other models are hinting at 3 to 5 inches of snow.

That would be minor compared to the 20 to 30 inches of snow that blasted many parts of the Garden State during the epic winter storm that stretched from last Sunday into early Wednesday. But it’s also a reminder we are in the middle of winter, so a lot more nasty weather could be on the way.

Our journalism needs your support. Please subscribe today to NJ.com.

Len Melisurgo may be reached at [email protected]. Tell us your coronavirus story or send a tip here.

Jonathan Cartu

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *